![]() Plus, jockey Joel Rosario lost his irons during the horse sandwich, and any chances of Rock Your World winning in his fourth career start were effectively over at that point. The 3-year-old son of Scat Daddy had all sorts of trouble right from the beginning, getting drilled from both sides by Essential Quality and Highly Motivated just a few strides out of the gate. We are going back to Santa Anita Derby winner Rock Your World. ![]() However, he does have the perfect grinding, running style to be able to sit just off the leaders and work his way past them down the long “Big Sandy” stretch. The argument against Essential Quality comes down to the fact that he doesn’t have elite early speed, and doesn’t necessarily always get the best trip as a result. ![]() And based upon adjusted times (feet per second), he was the fastest horse in the Derby field that day (Hot Rod Charlie was second and, Mandaloun was third).ĭespite his fourth place finish, that race might actually have increased Essential Quality’s stock in the eyes of many handicappers and I can make sound arguments against all of the top contenders in this field. The Kentucky Derby post-time favorite finished within a length of the leader even with a troubled trip. 2 Essential Quality (2-1)Įssential Quality (2-1) is both the most likely winner, and the horse that I’ll be keying my tickets around. While I don’t think there’s much value in Essential Quality today, he’s the most likely winner and one you have to use in both horizontal and vertical wagers. At the top of the stretch, it looked like he was going to be able to make his move and go by for the win, but just didn’t have enough. He was caught four wide the entire trip and traveled further than any horse on the first weekend of May. He was also the Kentucky Derby favorite, finishing fourth that day. 2 Essential Quality (2-1)Įssential Quality is the morning-line favorite. Some people might have something to say about there only being eight horses entered, but this field is deep and a number of horses have a legitimate chance to win at the Elmont, N.Y., track.Ĭheck out our picks to win, our favorite longshot bets and our best undercard bets for the 2021 Belmont Stakes below: Pick to Win the Belmont Stakes Mike Conti: No. This will be one of the most competitive Belmont Stakes fields in recent memory. Belmont Park is known for its big, sweeping turns and being a deep, sandy track (which is why it’s known as “Big Sandy”), so many believe the third jewel is the most difficult race. The last leg of horse racing’s Triple Crown is Saturday’s 1 1/2-mile Belmont Stakes. pictured: Belmont Stakes favorite Essential Quality.
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